Skip to content

Effects of diamond price volatility on stock returns - Evidence from a developing economy

MetadataDetails
Publication Date2020-08-23
JournalInternational Journal of Finance & Economics
AuthorsJean Marcelin Bosson Brou, Mbodja Mougoué, EugÚne Kouassi, Kebaabetswe Thulaganyo, Benjamin K. Acquah
InstitutionsUniversité Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Wayne State University
Citations3

Abstract High diamond price volatility can have significant impact on Botswana’s diamond‐driven economy. The global economic crisis of 2008-2009 saw the local economy characterised by heightened commodity price uncertainty, falling stock prices and dwindling international demand for diamonds. In this paper we employ a number of techniques to analyse and assess the effect of diamond price volatility on stock returns in Botswana. Firstly, estimation of a Markov Switching model reveals that high volatility regimes in diamond prices have become more frequent and persistent since the recession. Secondly, a bivariate GARCH‐in‐Mean VAR model is estimated and the results recognize that diamond price volatility has a positive and significant influence on stock returns in Botswana.

  1. 2012 - Botswana African economic outlook
  2. 2011 - Economic Growth and Development (Frontiers of Economics and Globalization
  3. 2014 - Regime switching model of US crude oil and stock market prices: 1859 to 2013
  4. 2012 - Association between gold prices and stock market returns: Empirical evidence from NSE
  5. 2013 - Bank of Botswana Annual Report 2013